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Knowing if you have an edge
over competitors
Opportunities exist for
skilled traders and skilled poker players to profit from gamblers and other
participants who expect to lose. It follows, therefore, that we want to
discover how to
become consistently winning traders or consistently
winning poker players. The answer lies in knowing when you have an
edge over competitors.
You will know when you have
discovered an edge once you have acquired the skills and resources to
successfully make profits. However, you must recognise your edge if you are
to predict whether you will be profitable. You must know your edge if you
are to be profitable in the long run. You must be able to recognise when it
presents itself, and you must exploit it whenever possible. Without an edge
over competitors you will lose. This is equally applicable to online trading
as it is to playing online poker.
Trading performance will generally
reflect a combination of skill and luck. However, in the long run skill
produces better performance than luck. Skill continues to affect returns
while luck will only produce random returns. Over time, good luck and bad
luck cancel each other out, where skill will generally persist.
When we return to
Harris's research, further investigation reveals how access
to information of various types creates trading advantages. "...On any given
transaction, the chances of winning or losing may be near even. In the long
run, however, winners profit from trading because they have some persistent
advantages that allow them to win slightly more often (or occasionally much
bigger) than losers win." TradeStation is considered by many to be the best online trading
platform in the world. It provides a wealth of resources to assist
traders in finding an edge over competitors. Profitable trading strategies can be
developed using technical analysis, fundamental analysis, or a combination
of both. What's more, before risking a penny in the markets trading systems can be back-tested over as much as 25 years of historical data.
As regards losing traders, Harris
continues, "...Many traders lose money because they do
not understand clearly what they are doing. They may not appreciate the
skills and resources required to successfully trade their styles and they
may not even be able to recognise what styles they intend to trade."
Harris reveals the determinant
economics of many types of winning and losing traders, and demonstrates
how their trading styles lead to profits or losses. Different trading styles
are generally associated with specific types of traders including
value-motivated traders, headline traders, technical traders and chartists,
bluffers, noise traders, uninformed investors, fledglings and gamblers to
mention a few. "...While
many traders will employ several different styles simultaneously, being able
to decompose trading behaviour into well understood characteristic styles is
a valuable skill if you trade."
Knowing that you have an edge
over competitors is vital to becoming a consistently winning trader or consistently winning poker player. It follows, that
traders and poker players must have useful tips they can share...
NEXT: Winning tips for
serious traders and poker
players.
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