Are you a Winner or
struggling to show a
profit?
You could be wondering why
TradersWorld - a respected financial software distributor - has chosen to
compare the game of poker with the serious business of trading financial
markets. After all, we generally consider poker to
be the domain of
internet casinos and poker rooms frequented by those seeking entertainment,
or gamblers who enjoy the challenge of beating the odds at games of chance.
Following a month-long study into the winners and losers of online
trading,
TradersWorld is drawn to conclude that learning to play poker could improve
trading performance. Our research covered a significant body of work
including a close analysis of "zero-sum games". The fruit of that
endeavour produced an additional and altogether surprising result. The rationale for trading financial markets
closely mirrors the rationale for playing poker! Naturally, we felt
it was pertinent to share these findings with you.
This article
focuses on
the zero-sum games of trading and poker, and shows that participants in these apparently unrelated activities have more
in common than, at first, we might think. Because both are zero-sum
games it is wholly plausible that
financial market traders could improve their performance by learning to
play poker. However, before we proceed
to qualify that statement, let us set the scene by introducing the
winners and losers of online trading. They are "Serious Traders" and the
"Also-rans".
"Serious Traders"
are
winning traders. Winning traders are skilled. They choose
better portfolios, they are better at timing their trades, and they find the
best rates for their trades than losing traders. They are better
analysts, they pay more attention, they act faster, and they organise
information more effectively than the losers. Winning traders trade with
the expectation of making profits and represent approximately 10% of all
traders. However, only 2% - 3% of winning traders make fabulous profits.
"Also-rans"
are losing traders. They include those who expect to profit from
trading but on average do not. These traders do not recognise the
difference between their expectations and their results. They may be
irrational, they may not posses adequate mental fortitude, they may rely
on untrustworthy data or they may trade for entertainment or gambling.
Losing traders generally use winning styles of trading but are unable to
profit from them. Incredibly, they represent 90% of all traders.
In a zero-sum game there
will always be a dollar won for every dollar lost. Winners will profit
at the expense of losers. In every financial market there
are losing traders who consistently hand their money over to traders who
consistently win. Why is it that such a small proportion of traders take
most of the money from the remaining participants?
Could it be that a majority of traders are simply gamblers?
Traders will tell you that gambling represents something
completely different.
To determine the answer we must first take a closer look at the definition
of gambling...
NEXT: A correlation between
traders and gamblers.
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Improve
Trading Performance - Learn to Play Poker!
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